Written by Jim the Realtor

January 31, 2022

Rob Dawg suggested that we examine the quartiles, and they show how top heavy the inventory is today. Almost one-quarter of the homes for sale between La Jolla and Carlsbad are priced over $10,000,000!

1st Quartile: $2,773,500

2nd Quartile (median): $5,100,000

3rd Quartile: $9,922,500

I’ll get those on a graph and we’ll follow along each week.

There have been 40 new pendings in each of the last two weeks, and there are already more pendings than actives – including nine new pendings this week priced over $4,000,000:

NSDCC Actives: 173

NSDCC Pendings: 182

There have only been 182 new listings this month, which is way below the January count of 288 last year.  We will take the final number on February 15th for the contest, but it looks like it will be under 200!

All buyers can hope for is that the ultra-low January count can be blamed on the ‘cron and sellers are waiting a month or two. We were hoping this year might get back to normal – now wondering if we can just get close to last year’s inventory count in time for the selling season!

The $0 – $1,500,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 3, 2022
9
$832/sf
35
36
Jan 10
9
$766/sf
28
29
Jan 17
13
$773/sf
26
27
Jan 24
9
$818/sf
15
29
Jan 31
14
$752/sf
14
31

The $1,500,000 – $2,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 3, 2022
8
$842/sf
52
36
Jan 10
13
$751/sf
28
29
Jan 17
16
$736/sf
33
27
Jan 24
16
$801/sf
17
27
Jan 31
15
$696/sf
14
34

The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 3, 2022
18
$1,080/sf
127
43
Jan 10
23
$1,038/sf
85
37
Jan 17
26
$1,044/sf
80
41
Jan 24
28
$1,015/sf
37
42
Jan 31
22
$949/sf
38
47

The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 3, 2022
19
$1,230/sf
90
26
Jan 10
22
$1,210/sf
76
25
Jan 17
19
$1,207/sf
86
23
Jan 24
17
$1,129/sf
92
24
Jan 31
21
$1,172/sf
70
22

The $4,000,000+ Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 3, 2022
100
$1,884/sf
128
30
Jan 10
105
$1,864/sf
113
29
Jan 17
109
$1,763/sf
110
34
Jan 24
105
$2,130/sf
114
42
Jan 31
102
$2,114/sf
118
53

NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings

Week
New Listings
New Pendings
Total Actives
Total Pendings
Jan 3, 2022
17
14
152
164
Jan 10
39
18
167
142
Jan 17
34
29
179
145
Jan 24
41
40
173
157
Jan 31
43
40
173
182

2 Comments

  1. Rob_Dawg

    For completeness you could add “0th and 5th quartile” meaning cheapest and most expensive but that takes a little work. Can’t count unbuildable land slivers or hundred acre ranches with development approvals.

  2. Jim the Realtor

    For completeness you could add “0th and 5th quartile” meaning cheapest and most expensive

    I thought of that but the high listing is so unusual and has been for sale for 1+ years so I eliminate from my regular count every week any way:

    https://www.compass.com/listing/16401-calle-feliz-rancho-santa-fe-ca-92067/884058591956747977/

    If I go down to #2 of the highest-priced NSDCC listings, there is this La Jolla estate that’s been on and off the market:

    https://www.compass.com/listing/7007-country-club-drive-la-jolla-ca-92037/953861401585736297/

    Number 3 has been for sale since 2007 (that’s correct, 2007, not 2017):

    https://www.compass.com/listing/929-border-avenue-solana-beach-ca-92075/25353758691121345/

    Maybe I should just track the #4 as our high mark? At least it has a decent chance of selling:

    https://www.compass.com/listing/308-vista-de-la-playa-la-jolla-ca-92037/807455816317136145/

Klinge Realty Group - Compass

Jim Klinge
Klinge Realty Group

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