Look Who’s Talking Up the Market

Written by Jim the Realtor

October 20, 2010

All we need is more soundbites like this, and we’ll be off to the races.  Potential buyers who are gainfully employed and have ample resources will gravitate to these articles, especially when they’re quoting the guy with the most negative foreclosure stats. 

From cnbc.com:

Foreclosures have long appealed to investors who are looking for instant equity—and willing to roll up their sleeves.  Often, buyers can purchase such homes for 20 percent to 60 percent off their potential market value.

“There is probably three more years of extraordinarily high levels of distressed inventory before we burn through this supply,” said Rick Sharga, senior vice president of RealtyTrac.com. “This is a market where somebody who does their homework can save significant money on a home purchase and create a nice investment opportunity on a longer-term basis.”

Investors entering the market today, however, will have to employ a different strategy than those who came before.  If you’re looking to renovate and flip, forget it. But if you’re in a position to buy and hold, with the intent of either renting your property or sitting on it until the real estate recession subsides, the market is ripe for the picking. 

According to RealtyTrac.com, Nevada, Florida and Arizona lead the nation in foreclosure rates, while Sunbelt cities and states, including Las Vegas, Nevada, Modesto, California, and Cape Coral-Ft. Myers, Florida are posting the largest number of foreclosures.

For investors, notes Sharga, a rocky residential market and a growing inventory of foreclosed homes could mean a bigger potential payoff down the road.

“If you combine a down market with the kind of discount you’d be looking at with the typical foreclosure, that doubles your opportunity for success when the market comes back,” he said.

“Many foreclosure investors won’t purchase a property unless it is at least a 30 percent discount,” said Sharga. “That’s because you’ll typically need to do a rehabilitation to bring the property back up to the neighborhood standard, you’ll probably have to finance it for a short period of time and it’ll cost you some money to market the property.”

It may be not sit well to profit from someone else’s misfortune, but keep in mind that when you purchase a distressed property you’re not just doing your investment portfolio a favor.

By reducing the inventory of available homes, you’re also helping to stabilize the residential real estate market, which, in turn, will buoy the troubled U.S. economy.

5 Comments

  1. Jim the Realtor

    Today in a speech, Charles Plosser, CEO of Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, remarked, “When the next crisis inevitably arises, the cycle will likely repeat itself, with more laws, more stringent regulations and more assurances that — this time — we have eliminated the possibility of bad economic outcomes and have prevented reckless behavior from disrupting the economy.”

  2. Jiji

    In certain markets I would have to agree,

    It’s a great time to buy in some markets (in Socal even) IMO

    OK flame away.

  3. CapitalGain

    I agree with much of what Sharga says. In the past I’ve done well in inland CA buying for a 25% to 45% net discount to replacement cost, which is achievable now. In coastal CA I’ve personally never seen that level of discount.

  4. Jim the Realtor

    No argument with what he is saying, it’s that he is the spokesman for a leading foreclosure service who has been extremely negative about the upcoming foreclosures.

    People want to hear it’s OK to go back in the water. When the foreclosure front-guy says what he said above, it might be enough to get them to buy.

    More articles like this will get buyers hopping.

  5. agnostic

    My husband and I have been involved in most aspects of real estate including owning rentals and fix & flip here in Tucson for many years.

    I follow financial websites like ‘naked capitalism’ which deals with structural economic issues and is now covering MERS. It seems to me that any substantial real estate recovery will have to involve JOBS-people being able to make a living and afford real estate ownership.

    That picture seems so murky, so many structural problems.

    We had many invitations to invest in bying off the courthouse steps, I’m glad it didn’t materialize now and am following MERS developments closely.

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