We have known Jim & Donna Klinge for over a dozen years, having met them in Carlsbad where our children went to the same school. As long time North County residents, it was a no- brainer for us to have the Klinges be our eyes and ears for San Diego real estate in general and North County in particular. As my military career caused our family to move all over the country and overseas to Asia, Europe and the Pacific, we trusted Jim and Donna to help keep our house in Carlsbad rented with reliable and respectful tenants for over 10 years.
Naturally, when the time came to sell our beloved Carlsbad home to pursue a rural lifestyle in retirement out of California, we could think of no better team to represent us than Jim and Donna. They immediately went to work to update our house built in 2004 to current-day standards and trends — in 2 short months they transformed it into a literal modern-day masterpiece. We trusted their judgement implicitly and followed 100% of their recommended changes. When our house finally came on the market, there was a blizzard of serious interest, we had multiple offers by the third day and it sold in just 5 days after a frenzied bidding war for 20% above our asking price! The investment we made in upgrades recommended by Jim and Donna yielded a 4-fold return, in the process setting a new high water mark for a house sold in our community.
In our view, there are no better real estate professionals in all of San Diego than Jim and Donna Klinge. Buying or selling, you must run and beg Jim and Donna Klinge to represent you! Our family will never forget Jim, Donna, and their whole team at Compass — we are forever grateful to them.
Here were the guesses from October 22, 2013 about this year:
https://www.bubbleinfo.com/2013/10/22/housing-appreciation-2014-forecast/
I said NSDCC prices would be flat, Rob Dawg said any gains would be in the first half of the year, and Mozart said +7.20% which was a little above the last reading of the SD Case-Shiller Index:
September 2013:
Number of sales = 259
Median sales price = $1,110,000
Average sales price = $1,448,326
Average sf = 3,173sf
Average Days on Market = 47 days
Average cost-per-sf = $467.09/sf
Median cost-per-sf = $384.12/sf
September 2014:
Number of sales = 235
Median sales price = $1,090,000
Average sales price = $1,409,692
Average sf = 3,017sf
Average Days on Market = 49 days
Average cost-per-sf = $475.79/sf
Median cost-per-sf = $396.53/sf
I was just quoted 3.9 % fixed 30 year zero points
I believe we will have QE 4 before you know it. I work in 11 states and appraisals are coming in low across the country, as comps age out.
C.A.R. predicted 6% price appreciation for 2014. Here is their 2015 forecast:
LOS ANGELES (Oct. 7) – With more available homes on the market for sale, California’s housing market will see fewer investors and a return to traditional home buyers as home sales rise modestly and prices flatten out in 2015, according to the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®’ (C.A.R.) “2015 California Housing Market Forecast,” released today.
The C.A.R. forecast sees an increase in existing home sales of 5.8 percent next year to reach 402,500 units, up from the projected 2014 sales figure of 380,500 homes sold. Sales in 2014 will be down 8.2 percent from the 414,300 existing, single-family homes sold in 2013.
The average for 30-year fixed mortgage interest rates will rise only slightly to 4.5 percent but will still remain at historically low levels.
The California median home price is forecast to increase 5.2 percent to $478,700 in 2015, following a projected 11.8 percent increase in 2014 to $455,000. This is the slowest rate of price appreciation in four years.
“With the U.S. economy expected to grow more robustly than it has in the past five years and housing inventory continuing to improve, California housing sales and prices will see a modest upward trend in 2015,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “While the Fed will likely end its quantitative easing program by the end of this year, it has had minimal impact on interest rates, which should only inch up slightly and remain low throughout 2015. This should help moderate the decline in housing affordability we saw occur over the past two years.”
http://www.car.org/newsstand/newsreleases/2014releases/859066?view=Standard
I’m guessing slightly negative year over year. If the economy is weak and the fed does do QE 4 it’s because we’re looking at a recession. If the fed raises rates because the economy is doing better that hurts the housing market. I do think rates will stay low and we’ll likely be in some kind of recession next year. Housing will probably do ok relative to everything else.
I guessed 7.2% last year.
This time I’ll say 4.5% year over year, end of September 2015. Somewhat of a slow down more typical of seasonal numbers early in the year then a steady rise next summer. Basically a steadily improving economy. Nothing too exciting going on, (thankfully).
Lots of upside potential too. Did you see the note yesterday that 40% of MLS participants haven’t had a sale this year? Nothing but blue sky ahead for them.
Bring on the 2010 price.
” MLS participants ” being Realtor’s ?
Not enough new homes being built.
It’s all about building and zoning.
The MLS participants include licensees who are part of a team. Their sales are logged under the team-leader’s name to fluff up the team stats.