Mary asked, “How many SD foreclosures have there been over the last three years?”
| Trustee Sales | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
| REO | 7,859 (22/day) | 17,894 (49/day) | 11,760 (32/day) | 2,097 (30/day) |
| 3rd Party | 399 (1/day) | 593 (2/day) | 2,749 (8/day) | 865 (12/day) |
| Totals | 8,258 (23/day) | 18,487 (51/day) | 14,509 (40/day) | 2,962 (42/day) |
A total of 44,216 trustee sales since January 1, 2007!
In the same time frame there have been 95,499 sales of detached and attached homes on the MLS.
Jim Klinge
Klinge Realty Group
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CA DRE #01527365, CA DRE #00873197
Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. We sold a home with Jim and Donna and from beginning to end they were consummate professionals. Their initial walk through the property resulted in a list of items to be repaired or updated. They supplied a list of vendors and job quotes to do the repairs and updates. We originally wanted to sell ‘as is’ and just get it over with. They gave us a selling price for ‘as is’ and options for doing a few updates/repairs to doing it all with the selling price for each option. We agreed to do all they suggested and we sold for the exact price they predicted. For every dollar spent we got back more than $2 back in the selling price. And they got that price in a rising interest rate environment! Donna and Jim are extremely detailed and guide you through ever aspect of the sale. There were no surprises thanks to their guidance. We couldn’t be more pleased with their representation. Thank you Donna and Jim, Jerry and MaryTrustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. We have known Jim & Donna Klinge for over a dozen years, having met them in Carlsbad where our children went to the same school. As long time North County residents, it was a no- brainer for us to have the Klinges be our eyes and ears for San Diego real estate in general and North County in particular. As my military career caused our family to move all over the country and overseas to Asia, Europe and the Pacific, we trusted Jim and Donna to help keep our house in Carlsbad rented with reliable and respectful tenants for over 10 years. Naturally, when the time came to sell our beloved Carlsbad home to pursue a rural lifestyle in retirement out of California, we could think of no better team to represent us than Jim and Donna. They immediately went to work to update our house built in 2004 to current-day standards and trends — in 2 short months they transformed it into a literal modern-day masterpiece. We trusted their judgement implicitly and followed 100% of their recommended changes. When our house finally came on the market, there was a blizzard of serious interest, we had multiple offers by the third day and it sold in just 5 days after a frenzied bidding war for 20% above our asking price! The investment we made in upgrades recommended by Jim and Donna yielded a 4-fold return, in the process setting a new high water mark for a house sold in our community. In our view, there are no better real estate professionals in all of San Diego than Jim and Donna Klinge. Buying or selling, you must run and beg Jim and Donna Klinge to represent you! Our family will never forget Jim, Donna, and their whole team at Compass — we are forever grateful to them.Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. WeI had the pleasure of working with Klinge Realty Group to sell our home in Carmel Valley, and I cannot recommend them highly enough! Jim and Donna demonstrated exceptional professionalism, offering expert guidance on market conditions and pricing strategy, which resulted in a quick and successful sale. Communication was prompt and we were well-informed throughout the entire process. For anyone looking for a dedicated and knowledgeable real estate team, look no further! ---Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. Donna and Jim Klinge of Klinge Realty Group have our highest possible recommendation. From Donna and Jim’s first visit to our house through closing their advice and counsel was candid and honest in all dealings. They kept us fully informed throughout the process. The house sold less than three days after listing with a two-week closing. My wife and I have sold several houses during our lives. This was by far the best experience. Klinge Reality is a premium service realtor. You can’t make a better choice for someone to sell your home fast and for top dollar.Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. Donna and Jim provided exceptional support and professionalism throughout the entire process. We couldn't have been happier with their efforts. They made our house shine, and thanks to their expertise, it sold above the listing price in the very first weekend! Truly a fantastic experience from start to finish.Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. This year has been difficult on our family, mainly due to having to sell our home. Thankfully we knew God had a plan for us and working with the Klinge team was a key part of it. It was an obvious decision to work with them again after such an amazing experience when purchasing the same home we needed to sell. The challenge was, how will we do this in so little time with so much going on? Jim and Donna held our hand every step of the way. Whenever an unexpected issue arose they found and provided a solution. Never once did we feel pressured to make a decision and the Klinges were always reassuring after providing the information that the decision was ours to make. Despite the curve balls, they never panicked and exemplified the “can do” attitude, making us feel optimistic and taken care of. Their expertise and professionalism was superb. But of all the reasons to work with the Klinges, the most impactful and valuable is their compassion and genuine care for their clients. We pray that we can one day purchase our forever home and you better believe that Jim and Donna will be representing us - as long as they will have us of course. Thank you again Klinge team! Your execution, experience, and care are unmatched.Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. Jim and Donna were fantastic! Jim understanding my needs, recommending potential places, pointing out the pros and cons of each property was invaluable. Then when the offer was accepted Donna’s organized guidance through the inspections, paperwork etc made the whole process seem effortless. So grateful that I had them on my side!Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. We first found Jim through his blog at bubbleinfo.com, which really showcased his knowledge of SoCal real estate. Since then we've done three transactions with Jim and Donna, and they are an incredible full service agency, with Jim's deep market insight and Donna's deft contract and project management. We trust them implicitly in their analysis and strategy, which is based on years of experience. They're always available and on top of things, and we strongly recommend them to anyone.Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. The Good The Klinge Realty Group operates like a finely tuned machine, with a very personal touch. We contacted them on a Sunday and they were talking to us about our family and our needs on our living room couch the following day. They carefully listened to us and worked with us to identify the best and quickest path to listing within 2 weeks to take advantage of the low inventory conditions in our South Carlsbad neighborhood. They knew our tract specifically and had many previous sales there over the years - they came prepared with a thorough analysis of comparative sales and recommended a pricing strategy that they felt confident would yield offers the first weekend on the market. The Great Over the next two weeks Donna coordinated a range of vendors who she knew from experience could get the preparation to list work we needed done on time and with high quality. Our light tune-up involved excellent experiences with their stagers, landscapers, contractors, electricians, and plumbers. Throughout this period Donna's daily communication was clear, concise, and responsive. Any time we had questions Donna picked up the phone or texted immediately - but almost always, she answered our questions before we even knew we had them. The Outstanding We had a tricky situation with a shared fence that could have delayed our escrow. Donna used superb mediation skills to negotiate the terms of replacement and was personally on site with the fence contractor to make sure everything went smoothly. The fence looks great and escrow closed on time. The Truly Exceptional Our house came on the market on a Wednesday and between then and Monday morning Jim was personally at all three open houses. He was in constant communication explaining potential buyer reaction and strength. As he predicted offers began to come in on Saturday and each one was incrementally higher than the last. At the end we had 5 offers, 4 of which were over list, and the final accepted offer was $100,000 over list. In addition to being over list it included rent back terms that met our needs. The Recommendation For all of these reasons we would strongly recommend The Klinge Team to anyone wanting to sell in North County Coastal San Diego. I had been reading Jim's bubbleinfo.com blog for 15 years and knew when the time came to sell that he would be our first call. Jim Klinge is not your standard realtor. He is keenly aware of market conditions and sales strategies. And, works his tail off - though not as hard as Donna . At this point he's gone from realtor to friend and I plan to have him over to grill and chill at our new place to talk real estate, but also just about life and raising kids in San Diego. He's more interested in relationships than his sales numbers - and that's why his sales numbers are so high. We have already recommended the Klinge's to some close friends and another successful sale is on deck right around the corner...Trustindex verifies that the original source of the review is Google. We recently had the pleasure of working with Jim and Donna from Klinge Realty Group to sell our house, and we couldn't be more satisfied with the experience. From the initial meeting, they listened attentively to our needs and provided invaluable guidance on specific improvements to get our home market ready. Their responsiveness throughout the entire process was truly impressive. Anytime we had questions or concerns, they were quick to address them, ensuring we felt comfortable and informed every step of the way. What stood out the most was their team and extensive network of tradespeople, which made addressing any necessary repairs or updates seamless and stress-free. Thanks to their expertise and dedication, our house sold quickly and at a great price. We highly recommend Jim and Donna to anyone looking to buy or sell a home. They are a fantastic team who truly care about their clients and deliver exceptional results.Load more
As a buyer numbers like these are just sickening.
I would venture to guess that nearly all of the 44k Trustee sales were ultimately sold via the MLS (REO/Flipper). Thus of the 95k total mls sales there were only about 50k of non trustee originated sales.
Of that 50k a good portion of those were sold short instead of making it onto the trustee sale list. Lets guess about 30% to be light.
Thus, only 35,000 organic, non short/trustee sale properties in 3.25 years (10,700/yr).
Jim – How does 10,700/yr stack of historically for SD county?
42/day when we have all kinds of “loan modification” programs going…
look at government manipulation, amazing!
The government has pulled out all the stops to save the middle-upper middle class housing prices. I think they guess that most of the weak hands have been purged from the market, which I suppose they mostly have. They have tightened the spigot a bit too much, though, although we will have to see what happens when the tax break is removed…IF it is allowed to expire. What’s the point of a tax break if there isn’t anything out there worth buying if not to drive up prices because buyers are all competing for the same 10% of quality inventory?
Although, I have to admit I don’t mind this so much as long as the hands in the game are strong and paying cash or putting a full 20% down. But how many of those types of buyers are out there? Certainly more than we have quality inventory for….
That fixer on the next block over from me has been on the market 38 days now with no takers – they’ve dropped price from $283k to $259k. We’re taking bets on how low it goes before a buyer who wants to spend $30k in renovations shows up.
I’m actually surprised it’s not more dramatic. That is, look at the 2008 number compared to 2009 and 2010. The fall was only 20% (51 to 40/42 a day), even though there were no governmental incentives or loan mod programs to stall foreclosure in 2008.
In any case, it is often in the bank’s best interest to attempt a loan mod. If the total amount they can get back from a loan mod is more than the net proceeds (including all selling costs, like repairs or real estate commisions) from a REO or trustee sale, then it is in their best interest to do a loan mod.
Art Eclectic,
“I think they guess that most of the weak hands have been purged from the market,”
What is your reasoning for this statement?
I’m seeing more and more deadbeats listing at wishing prices and they’re not being forced to move. On average deadbeats get 1 year of free rent before foreclosure in SD. (also the number seems to be increasing)
How in the world is this “flushing the weak hands”?
Everything has to be paid for some how.
Whether it is diminished future returns, or loss of confidence, the invisible hand will not be held back.
Sooner or later, it will exert itself somewhere else, and not where you want it to.
Chuck
Shadash, in my mind the weak hands (no down payment, no doc, no income) have been mostly flushed out. What remains are specuvestors and opportunists. The opportunists are the ones playing the free rent program for all it’s worth. They’re right up there with strategic defaulters….they can pay, but why bother when the government is sponsoring a free rent program?
Jim,
How long, on average, are foreclosed homes staying on the MLS (or, “remaining unsold,” if you prefer) once they’re listed? I’m assuming that “real” inventory (including shadow inventory) is somewhere around 2x-2.5x the MLS inventory. Which, while problematic, doesn’t portend disaster so long as the foreclosures are getting sold quickly once they hit the MLS.
The housing inventory is a likely dam. Eventually we’re going to run out of fingers to plug the holes
likely should have been leaky
There are currently 5 months of MLS inventory in SD County right now. If we double that number to account for shadow inventory then we’re up to 10 months. 2.5x and we’re up to just over a year’s worth of inventory. That’s bad. Very bad. And prices *should* be declining if all of that inventory were on the market. But it isn’t the end of the world… particularly when there are hardly any new homes being built. Unless we have another dramatic decline in GDP – always possible, of course – most of that excess inventory is going to get sucked up over the next 2-3 years because very little is being built (in relative terms).