Written by Jim the Realtor

July 11, 2019

We saw that the first-half sales were 4% under last year’s count – has it been getting worse lately?  Yes, and the high-end is where the trouble is:

NSDCC Detached-Home Sales, July:

Year
# Closed Sales
Avg $$/sf
Median SP
# of Sales Over $2M
2016
312
$507/sf
$1,200,000
60
2017
363
$529/sf
$1,260,000
73
2018
299
$606/sf
$1,350,000
74
2019
281
$612/sf
$1,300,000
64
Latest YoY
-6%
+1%
-4%
-14%

We have 546 active listings of NSDCC homes priced over $2,000,000/46 = 12-month supply.

Low rates, more inventory, strong employment, and record Dow hasn’t helped much yet. But we know there’s nothing that price won’t fix!

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3 Comments

  1. North County Guy

    SALT and the mortgage interest deduction being reduced to $750k is finally being felt after people did their 2018 Federal Taxes. Married couple with incomes greater than $350k especially. However, there will ALWAYS be people that are so filthy rich that taxes do not matter and they have been buying homes on Neptune and RSF for decades with all cash.

  2. Jim the Realtor

    SALT and the mortgage interest deduction being reduced to $750k is finally being felt after people did their 2018 Federal Taxes. Married couple with incomes greater than $350k especially.

    I disagree:

    1) The $1,000,000 to $1,500,000 range is our hottest market.
    2) The lower $750,000 amount only applies to new purchases. If you’re renting, the $750k interest deduction is better than nothing.
    3)The move-up market already had enough reasons not to move. if you cleared all those, and had to live with an interest-deduction on a $750,000 mortgage instead of $1,000,000, it cost you about $4,000 in extra taxes max. If Mama wants a house bad enough, the $4,000 is chump change.

  3. Jim the Realtor

    However, there will ALWAYS be people that are so filthy rich that taxes do not matter and they have been buying homes on Neptune and RSF for decades with all cash.

    I do agree with that!

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Jim Klinge
Klinge Realty Group

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