Between trying to watch the Padres game on my phone and the crowds of people looking at the house yesterday, I couldn't get any more footage than this: After having roughly 300 people attend the two open houses, we have received 14 offers! We have countered all of the...
2022
Saturday Open House Report
This is shaping up to be the craziest Sunday of the year!
NSDCC Pendings Since 6% Rates
The national bashing of the real estate market continues unabated, and I'm sure there are individual markets that are really feeling it. But real estate is local, so let's examine the facts. To get a sense of what has been happening since rates got into the 6s, let's...
Inventory Watch
Bill has been following the inventory in different markets, and San Diego is faring much better than other areas. He is showing a 23.8% drop in new listings YoY, but last year was the record low. Look at the previous years: September New Listings, San Diego County...
JB On The Bubble
Housing Bubble Set to Pop By John Burns In 2013, fresh off the biggest housing downturn in their lifetimes, 73 housing industry executives compiled the Top 10 Signs of a Housing Market Bubble at our Summit Conference in Laguna Beach, CA. Assessing the criteria that we...
Pricing Momentum
There will always be an occasional low sale here and there. What would cause home prices to really slide? There would need to be a series of low sales in the same area to create downward momentum. The next seller would have to be convinced that lower prices are a...
Creamed?
Dr. Doom said in his podcast here that the California markets have had the most significant price declines, and the Bay Area, LA, and San Diego have 'gotten creamed'. He didn't provide any data to back it up, so let's look at what we have from the MLS which includes...
Prices Dropped 22% In One Month?
Last month, the 92009 median sales price declined 14.8% YoY, and was -22% MONTH-OVER-MONTH. Keyboard warriors everywhere will be jumping all over news like this. What really happened? The facts: Last month, there were 52% fewer sales than in September, 2021. The homes...
Who’s Left to Buy?
Graph from JBREC: Only 36% of current homeowners said they would move if rates were 5%+, Only 15% said they would move if rates were 6% or higher, and ONLY 7% OF CURRENT HOMEOWNERS WOULD MOVE IF RATES WERE 7% OR HIGHER. If the market of move-up and move-down buyers...
Over List, August
The over-bidding is winding down to more manageable levels as just 24% of August buyers were willing to pay over the list price. As usual, the $1,000,000 to $2,000,000 range was the most active, where inventory is low and the number of quality homes for sale even...