They are saying that in the expensive coastal markets there are fewer empty-nesters, but they base that opinion on the percentages? The San Diego metro of 3.3 million x 13% = 429,000 empty-nesters sounds significant to me! Some have suggested that empty nest...
Zillow
Zillow Using Their Own Facts
Oh geez, here we go again. The number of Zillow views DECLINED since yesterday. How do the views go backwards? We already know that Zillow recalibrates their zestimates to within 1% of the list price once a home is listed on the MLS, rendering their posted guesses of...
Zillow Local-Appreciation Guesses
It was in May that Zillow started guessing +1%-ish for local appreciation. Comparing their 'typical home values' from May to today shows a decline of roughly 2% in pricing in all zip codes over the last six months. With sticky mortgage rates and a political circus for...
Zillow Climate-Risk Factors
There has been a lot of discussion recently about the outrageous cost of fire insurance, and how the FHSZ has been expanded to include major portions of regular suburban towns like Carlsbad. The buyer of our Circulo Sequoia listing will be forced to pay a premium for...
Zestimates in 2024
Borrowing this from Rob's blog, this is known as Amara’s Law in technology spheres. It goes: “We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.” When the zestimates first came out in 2006, their accuracy...
Zillow Appreciation Guesses
Since May, Zillow has been predicting virtually no annual appreciation locally. Living in Flat City mostly affects those who have purchased recently - it's tougher to move and/or refinance if the down payment was 20% or less. If you just want to lower your existing...
Zillow Local Predictions
Living in Flat City can be a disaster for those recent purchasers who buy the wrong house, or get divorced. If you have to resell your home in a year or two after buying it, the down payment will get eaten up and you may not be able to buy another house....unless you...
Zillow Price Changes
San Diego's YoY gain of 9.4% is third highest behind San Jose and Hartford, and our +55.4% since March, 2020 is #1 among the higher-end markets!
Zestimates and The Truth
Are you going to hire a less-experienced agent who isn’t as good on pricing, just to save a point because you trust your zestimate? Yikes!
More Zillow Predictions
Zillow sent me two more areas: Encinitas, 92024 Rancho Santa Fe, 92067 We are rolling into Flatline City, and we'll be here the rest of the year. At least. Expect that the 1Q25 market will be the best of that year too, just like in 2024.