Prop 19 Transfer of Tax Basis

For those who are at least 55 years old and are buying a home in San Diego County in which you will reside, you can bring your previous property-tax basis with you!

Here is the San Diego form – they vary by county:

Claim for Transfer of Base Year Value to Replacement Primary Residence for Persons at Least Age 55 Years

If you have questions, the taxman can be reached by email at: Taxman.FGG@sdcounty.ca.gov

Wire Fraud

Written by Richard Hopen from COMPASS Short Hills NJ:

When my wife and I sold our house in 2017, our $239,000 mortgage payoff was stolen.

The money was never recovered.  We were victims of real estate wire fraud.

I’m not only a victim, I’m also a real estate agent and lawyer. And shame on me for not knowing about wire fraud when I sold my house. Real estate wire fraud is perpetrated by cyber criminals who exploit the trust between home buyers and sellers and their real estate agents, title companies, lawyers, and mortgage lenders. Criminals steal home deposits, down payments, and mortgage payoffs by accessing and monitoring email accounts of the parties in a transaction.

When a criminal finds an email with attached wiring instructions, they change the depository account number and email the fraudulent wiring instructions to the person who will wire the funds. If the target is duped, the money will be wired into the criminal’s account. Accessing email accounts is easy for cyber-criminals and opportunities to commit the crime are unlimited. According to a 2021 ALTA survey, 1 in 3 real estate transactions are targeted.

Real estate transactions are ripe conditions for thieves. Each transaction involves multiple parties, working under pressure to meet the closing deadline. Many of the parties share information over unsecured email accounts that can lead a savvy criminal to the wiring instructions. Home buyers and sellers are vulnerable, and real estate agents need to do much more than include wire fraud warnings on emails or have customers sign wire fraud disclosures. At a minimum, every seller and buyer should know about the risk of real estate wire fraud and how to prevent it.

Rich Hopen of COMPASS Short Hills, NJ has worked closely with ALTA to create www.stopwirefraud.org. He has sat on a wire fraud panel with a U.S. Senator; participated in a roundtable discussion with the FBI, ALTA, the Mortgage Bankers Association, American Bankers Association, and NAR; was interviewed and quoted by HousingWire and the Wall Street Journal; and has spoken to many real estate offices and organizations.

https://stopwirefraud.org/

Another thought: Avoid Friday closings to help stop wire fraud.

Friday is the most highly targeted day of the week for wire fraud at real estate closings, because the next business day is on Monday, and there is only a 24 hour window to identify a fraudulent transfer and reverse it, and criminals know and exploit this weakness.

Always tell your clients to follow up with their bank in the hours after closing to be sure wire transfers were done but to also check very first thing the next morning.  If the next morning is Saturday, there is no live person at the bank to follow up on the wire, and by Monday, the window to reverse it is past.

Balboa Park Condo

Check out our new listing of this 2br/2ba home in Park Royal! It’s the premium penthouse unit in the complex, located in the very back and has the wrap-around balcony for max viewing of the surrounding area. Newer kitchen, newer bathrooms, hardwood floors, efficient mini-splits, and plenty of natural light. Want move-in ready? This is it – just bring your toothbrush! Two pets allowed too! Balboa Park is a treasure – live right next to it! Morley Field is a block away, which has cycling, dog park, swimming, tennis, golf (27 holes) archery, softball, frisbee golf….everything you need to enjoy the outdoors! Only $695,000.

3421 Park Blvd. #405, San Diego 92103

2 br/2 ba, 955sf

YB: 1970

LP = $695,000

SP = $715,000 – we represented the seller.



https://www.compass.com/listing/3421-park-boulevard-unit-405-san-diego-ca-92103/971955067036702049/

‘Owned, A Tale of Two Americas’ on PBS Tonight

Giorgio’s movie will debut on PBS TV this week!

Tuesday, February 8th at 10:00pm on KPBS

Saturday, February 12th at 9:00am on KPBS2

If you want to watch it on your schedule and don’t mind paying $4 to $5, click HERE.


We had a great time while filming the movie, and hopefully some day we’ll see what ended up on the cutting-room floor. Here are the previous blog posts:

https://www.bubbleinfo.com/category/documentary-film/

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Giorgio has gotten some great press around this release:

https://www.fastcompany.com/90718940/how-home-ownership-incentivizes-people-to-keep-racist-housing-policies-in-place

Zillow Way Off

Homebuyers got crushed last year as home prices soared at their highest clip on record. Housing economists saw that price growth—which peaked at a year-over-year rate of 20% last year—as simply unsustainable.

Their economic models agreed: Among the seven forecast models reviewed by Fortune heading into 2022, every single one predicted home price growth would slow significantly this year.

But over the past few weeks, that consensus is no longer so unified. Now, more industry insiders are throwing out their previous forecasts and replacing them with more bullish short-term outlooks. Indeed, some experts say the 2022 spring housing market might go down as one of the most competitive on record.

Look no further than Zillow. Back in December, the home listing site predicted that U.S. home values would climb 11% this year. Economists at Zillow now say that forecast is too conservative. Their latest forecast finds home prices are set to spike 16.4% between December 2021 and December 2022. If it comes to fruition, it would mark another brutal year for home shoppers.

Why is Zillow raising its 2022 home price growth forecast? A lot of it boils down to housing inventory. During the pandemic, inventory plunged to a four-decade low as more buyers rushed into the market. That trend was predicted to reverse late last year as forbearance protection programs lapsed and mortgage rates rose. But not only has that not happened, the inventory situation has gotten worse. In January, there were just over 923,000 U.S. homes listed for sale on Zillow. That’s down 40.5% from the pre-pandemic level in January 2020, and down 19.5% from January 2021.

Simply put: The housing market is tighter right now than it was last year when bidding wars climbed to an all-time high. That explains why Zillow foresees a rough few months ahead for home shoppers.

Homebuyers and sellers alike would be wise to take Zillow’s 16.4% price growth prediction—or any other real estate forecast model—with a grain of salt. After all, none of the major real estate forecast models predicted the historic home price boom we’ve seen over the past two years. Indeed, when the pandemic struck in spring 2020, Zillow and CoreLogic both predicted home prices would fall by spring 2021.

https://fortune.com/2022/02/07/zillow-our-2022-housing-forecast-is-way-off-home-prices-now-set-to-spike/

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Except that real estate is local.

Zillow had been predicting 20% price growth locally for the last three months, but now their latest forecasts have DROPPED significantly:

NW Carlsbad, 92008:

SE Carlsbad, 92009:

NE Carlsbad, 92010:

SW Carlsbad, 92011:

Carmel Valley, 92130:

Encinitas, 92024:

La Jolla, 92037:

Rancho Santa Fe, 92067

Mission Hills, 92103:

West Rancho Bernardo, 92127:

Their 15% to 18% is still pretty good though!

Inventory Watch

Today, we have a tied ballgame!

NSDCC Actives: 179

NSDCC Pendings: 179

I’m still working on getting the right graph for quartiles, but here they are today:

1st quartile: $2,760,000

Median list price: $4,995,000

3rd quartile: $9,750,000

One quarter of the NSDCC active inventory is priced over $9,750,000!

(more…)

JtR New Listing in SW Carlsbad

With the inventory so low – especially for the one-story houses – here’s a seller who senses an opportunity. We just listed the premier single-level floor plan in Aviara for a reasonable $1,900,000!

How hot are the one-story homes?

Here’s the action after 15 minutes on Saturday:

Sunday morning’s count:


https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1344-Corvidae-St-Carlsbad-CA-92011/48180010_zpid/

I don’t know how these guys get away with these revisions after the listing hits the market:

Before Listing Hit the Market:

After Listing Hit the Market:

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