Inventory Watch

The percentage change in Active Listings between the first week of October and mid-November:

2018: -3%

2019: -11%

2020: -12%

2021: -18%

2022:  -0-

2023: -4%

It looks like the sellers are hanging around a while longer to see if November might be their lucky month. Only 16 listings went pending since last Monday (current count is 112 pendings), and there have been 39 closings this month.

It’s probably going to stay fairly quiet the rest of the year because sellers aren’t sensing any reason to panic, and they can see the 2024 Selling Season from here.

This is the same graph from November 14, 2022 – the late-summer surge of pendings was better this year:

(more…)

Realtor Commissions 2024

A simple analogy for realtor commissions is a long-distance flight abroad.

Someone who was booking a flight from San Diego to Phoenix probably wouldn’t be too concerned about the quality. Because the flight only takes an hour, most can endure the inconveniences…..mostly due to the generally lousy service we get in every industry. We’ve become accustomed to not expecting much.

But when it comes to a long-distance flight, we might look harder at the differences.

Buying or selling a higher-end home is like flying to Australia.

A non-stop flight from LAX to Sydney, Australia is 15.5 hours, which should make people think harder about the choices. Not only does the airline, the staff, the type of airplane, the quality of the food, reviews, etc. get more scrutiny, but so does the seating chart.

Sitting in the economy section can be endured for an hour on a flight to Phoenix, but will you put up with screaming kids, the barking dog, and the guy who fills up more of his share of the seat for 15.5 hours?

Or do you deserve first class?

The problem with realtor commissions is that the agents all get paid the same, regardless of the quality of service provided. It’s as if every buyer and seller pays for a first-class seat, but then only 10% to 20% of them get that level of service. It’s why there are so many complaints about realtors not being worth it – most don’t live up to the expectations, or their fee.

The commission lawsuits intend to change that, and they think they will cause the rates to go down.

But realtors intend to convince you that they are worth the usual fee by improving their presentations. The consumers who are willing to investigate will probably find something like this:

The 179 ways realtors are worth it

The exceptional realtors probably aren’t too interested in lowering their fee, so let’s examine the hiring of a realtor in the post-lawsuit era. Note that after years of using a pixel phone, I have finally switched to the iphone15promax – my first video with the new phone will start the inquiry:

Veterans Day

Today is Veterans Day (originally Armistice Day) honoring military veterans of the United States Armed Forces marking the anniversary of the end of World War I.

Major hostilities of World War I were formally ended at the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month of 1918 when the Armistice with Germany went into effect. At the urging of major U.S. veteran organizations, Armistice Day was renamed Veterans Day in 1954. Today may be the perfect reminder how easy it is to forget history…..no veterans from World War 1 are alive today, so keeping the enormous sacrifices some have made and experienced many years ago alive is important in our ability to not repeat the mistakes of the past.

While the holiday is commonly printed as Veteran’s Day or Veterans’ Day in calendars and advertisements, the United States Department of Veterans Affairs website states that the attributive (no apostrophe) rather than the possessive case is the official spelling “because it is not a day that ‘belongs’ to veterans, it is a day for honoring all veterans.

Top 10 Tax Tips for Rentals

In almost every country, the government strongly encourages investing in real estate by offering tax credits and deductions. Investors who use these incentives reduce their taxes, freeing up cash to invest and build wealth.

Here are the top ten tax credits and deductions that can help you maximize rental property profits.

1. TAKE THE HOME OFFICE DEDUCTION

Unlike W-2 employees who burn the midnight oil from home, business owners may deduct the expenses associated with having a home office from their taxes. Yet far too many people fail to take this deduction. Work with a CPA who will help you use and document your home office expenses correctly so you don’t miss out.

2. DEDUCT YOUR TRAVEL EXPENSES

Once you’ve established that your primary office is at home, your deductible travel expenses will increase significantly. Whether you’re driving locally to meet with tenants, check on properties, oversee maintenance, or flying across the country to manage a far-flung portfolio and/or search for a new property, business travel is a significant deduction.

3. INCLUDE ALL OF YOUR VEHICLE EXPENSES

This category is a little complex, so it deserves a place on the list separate from travel expenses. If you use your vehicle for rental activities, such as driving to your properties or picking up supplies, you can claim either the standard mileage rate or actual expenses like gas, maintenance and depreciation. Work with your CPA to determine which is better for you.

4. DON’T SKIMP ON PROPERTY MARKETING

Advertising is crucial to attracting tenants. Any money you spend on marketing your rental properties, such as online listings, brochures, etc., is fully deductible.

5. DEDUCT ANY MANAGEMENT FEES

If you hire a property manager to handle day-to-day operations, their fees can be deducted. This also applies to fees paid to attorneys, accountants and other professionals related to your rental business.

6. USE COST SEGREGATION AND BONUS DEPRECIATION

I speak with a lot of real estate investors every year, and I continue to be shocked by how many people avoid a cost segregation analysis because someone told them it would get them flagged for an IRS audit. This is terrible advice (and often a sign the investor needs a new CPA). Cost segregation, coupled with bonus depreciation, is the correct way to depreciate your investment — saving you a ton on taxes.

7. DEDUCT YOUR PASSIVE LOSSES

While no one likes losses, losses on an apartment rental can offset other income, reducing your overall tax bill. Typically, rental real estate losses are considered passive and must offset other passive income. If your only other sources of income are active, don’t throw in the towel on this item. Work with your tax advisor to see how to restructure your active income to create passive income.

8. ADD ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHARGING STATIONS

Governments offer substantial incentives to people willing to help build infrastructure to support switching from gas to electric vehicles. If you qualify for these tax credits, it’s an excellent opportunity to get the government to help pay for an upgrade to your property that will help you appeal to tenants who drive EVs.

9. INSTALL A SOLAR POWER SYSTEM

Like charging stations, solar systems come with great tax incentives right now. The federal investment tax credit for solar systems is 30% through 2032, and bonus depreciation is still available. Use these incentives to get the government to help pay for another property upgrade.

10. HIRE YOUR KIDS

Rental properties need a lot of regular, unskilled maintenance. Hiring your teenage children to handle basic landscaping, snow removal and other tasks can be a great solution. You’ll deduct the expense of the wages you pay them, and they’ll earn money that’s taxed at a lower rate than yours. Who knows? You could inspire your kids with a love of real estate, just like my mom and dad did.

TOM WHEELWRIGHT®, CPA
CEO
WealthAbility

Tax and wealth expert Tom Wheelwright® is a CPA, CEO of WealthAbility®, Rich Dad Advisor, entrepreneur, international speaker, and author of the bestselling books The Win-Win Wealth Strategy and Tax-Free Wealth. Wheelwright is the CPA for Robert Kiyosaki and has spoken on stage on six continents to over 100,000 entrepreneurs, small business owners and investors. He also is the host of two popular podcasts: The WealthAbility® Show with Tom Wheelwright® CPA and The WealthAbility® for CPAs Show.

SD County Update

Having 2,218 new detached and attached listings in a county of 3.3 million people is anemic. There were 4,198 new listings in October, 2019.

But it doesn’t look like we need any more – those on the market aren’t selling like before. In fact, the unsolds are starting to stack up now, which is the #1 fear for sellers:

It’s showing here too:

These are the more typical market pressures we would see in a normalizing market. The sellers are losing some of their pricing power, and buyers think that most of the current offerings just aren’t worth it.

Zillow’s Home Trends 2024

Brutalist? Here’s what’s in and out:

Do you love to set trends rather than chase them?

You can get ahead of the curve on the hottest new home design trends by checking out our predictions of which features and design elements will be trending in 2024.

We looked at nearly 300 home features and design styles mentioned in for-sale listing descriptions on Zillow and then identified the keywords showing up more frequently than they did a year ago. From post-pandemic pastimes to nostalgic designs from decades past, Zillow identified the emerging trends of 2024:

https://www.zillowgroup.com/news/2024s-hottest-home-trends/

“Mother of All Commission Lawsuits”

The copycat lawsuits are pouring in now, with attorneys from across the country looking to get their piece.  The latest, called Batton 2 (other versions were filed previously), is for buyers from the last 27 years:

“All persons who, since December 1, 1996 through the present, purchased in the Indirect Purchaser States residential real estate that was listed on an NAR MLS.” For this class, the plaintiffs are asking for damages under “antitrust, unfair competition, consumer protection, and unjust enrichment laws.”

The class will include millions of people! If NAR goes out of business (which is likely), it won’t change much because we’ll still have state and local associations. We’ll have less lobbying, but lower dues!

All plaintiffs have momentum now, and the lead attorney from the first lawsuit doesn’t just want money. “One of our goals in filing the case is to make sure any changes are brought nationwide,” said Ketchmark. “We’re extremely focused on making sure any change that comes from this is real change.”

But the NAR is taking it lightly, just like they have from the beginning:

“We are currently reviewing the new filing, and it appears to be a copycat lawsuit,” Mantill Williams, NAR’s vice president of communications. “We continue to assert that the practice of listing brokers making offers of compensation to buyer brokers is best for consumers. It gives the greatest number of buyers a chance to afford a home and professional representation, while also giving sellers access to the greatest number of buyers.”

Here’s our corporate viewpoint:

Compass spokesperson Devin Daly Huerta said the company doesn’t comment on pending litigation, but provided comments from the company’s earnings call on Monday, saying the company “will respond accordingly to the complaints filed against us at the appropriate time” and that the company feels “confident that Compass is well-positioned.”

Compass pointed to rule changes at Northwest MLS that made listing broker compensation to buyer brokers optional and didn’t result in any decrease of offers of compensation or the amounts offered. “So we have evidence in a major U.S. market of what this change might look like that gives us confidence,” the company said.

“Secondly, we believe we are positioned well because we have the combination of some of the most productive agents and the only end to end technology platform in our industry. Third, we currently have agents that successfully ask their buyers to sign buyer broker agreements in order to work with them. We are in the process of launching trainings to all of our agents to empower them to successfully get buyer broker agreements signed with their buyers.

“Lastly, we operate largely in the luxury segment, where we think buyers will always want the help of an advisor through their home-buying journey.”

Similar statements from other brokerages are downplaying the impact. Yes, we will probably have better presentations of what realtors do and why we are worth the money, but anyone who thinks that will fix everything will be sorely disappointed. Consumers will be empowered to consider other options.

The only people who think that buyer-agents are needed are the agents. Buyers find homes for sale online, and they are proud about finding them before their agent does. They wonder why they need their own agent, when they can just contact the listing agent. The listing agents will be enouraging those thoughts!

Here’s a paragraph from the red team – the first to publicly mimic my prediction:

But if buyers’ agents become less common, Redfin will prosper in that world too. We run the largest brokerage website in America. We’ve built self-service technology for buyers to set up their own tours and to make offers. We’ll use that technology to market the properties listed by our agents directly to consumers, taking market share from other brokerages. We may open that platform to other listing agents who work with us as partners.

This is an opportunity for major changes to be implemented on how homes are sold, and these lawsuits are the disruption device. Realtors will roll out fancier graphics that tout the status quo, leaving it wide open for new ideas. Zillow and Homes.com have surged ahead of what should have been the dominant search portal, realtor.com, which NAR also screwed up when they sold it to an outside company.

Zillow has been amassing the pieces to build a super app, and create one-stop shopping for homes. If they add an auction component, it will be O-V-E-R for realtors.

Pin It on Pinterest